These market forecasts for component sectors are derived from just-auto’s sector intelligence service and issued as part of the Interiors Management Briefing
Market forecasts – front seats
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In addition to monitoring technological developments in the vehicle seating sector, just-auto provides a forecast service, setting out market volumes and values of front and rear seats across the major car-producing regions of the world.
For example, the following table sets out our estimates and forecasts of the market volume and value of vehicle front seating for passenger cars produced in Europe. In addition, and given the sheer volatility of the global economy at present, we have set out an ‘expected’, ‘best case’ and ‘worst case’ scenario applied to vehicle seating. On balance, we believe this provides a more realistic framework for our component forecasts. Overall, we estimate that the European front seating market volume totaled about 31 million units in 2009, with potential to reach 44 million by 2016. The sudden decrease in market volumes in 2009 reflects the cutbacks in vehicle production during that period.
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Market volume of front seats for passenger cars assembled in Europe, 2006 – 2016, expected, best case and worst case scenarios, ‘000s of units |
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2007 |
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2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
|
|
Europe |
39,032 |
37,026 |
31,038 |
29,594 |
32,614 |
36,742 |
39,922 |
42,550 |
43,400 |
44,268 |
|
Europe: best case 3% higher than expected |
30,482 |
33,592 |
37,844 |
41,120 |
43,827 |
44,702 |
45,596 |
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Europe: worst case 3% lower than expected |
28,706 |
31,636 |
35,640 |
38,724 |
41,274 |
42,098 |
42,940 |
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Market forecasts – instrument clusters
According to Bosch, the digital instruments fitted up to the 1990s displayed information using vacuum fluorescence display technology and, later, liquid crystal technology, but they have now largely disappeared. Instead, conventional analog needle instruments are used in combination with displays. At the same time, there is an increase in the size, resolution and colour representation of the displays. Here, we define the ‘instrument cluster’ as that part of the instrument panel — typically set directly in front of the driver — showing speed and engine revolutions plus two smaller instruments showing engine temperature and fuel gauge. This cluster may also incorporate odometer and trip meter and a variety of other information processed via an ‘on-board computer’.
Using Bosch’s product definition, the following table sets out and extract of just-auto’s estimates and forecasts of the market volume of instrument clusters for passenger cars in North America.
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Market volume of instrument clusters for passenger cars assembled in North America, 2006 – 2016, expected, best case and worst case scenarios, ‘000s of units |
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2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
|
|
North America: expected |
6,343 |
6,032 |
3,815 |
4,902 |
6,011 |
6,846 |
7,242 |
7,403 |
7,551 |
7,702 |
|
North America: best case 3% higher than expected |
5,049 |
6,191 |
7,051 |
7,459 |
7,625 |
7,778 |
7,933 |
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|
North America: worst case 3% lower than expected |
4,755 |
5,831 |
6,641 |
7,025 |
7,181 |
7,324 |
7,471 |
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See also June 2010 management briefing: Automotive interiors report
