West European car registrations fell by 8.5% year-on-year (YoY) in December according to data released by LMC Automotive.

The annualised selling rate (SAAR) for the region dropped to 12.8m units a year compared to 13.3m units a year in November.

Full-year registrations across Western Europe were down 0.7% on the previous year, with a total of 14.2m units sold – the first annual decline since 2013.

In France, 2018 closed with a disappointing 14.5% YoY fall in December, the country rocked by demonstrations in Paris, but the market still grew 3% for the full year, to deliver its best annual performance since 2011. The German market was down 6.7% in December, resulting in a contraction of 0.2% in 2018 as a whole. Italy saw a 2% increase in December sales, but this was not enough to prevent a 3.1% full-year decline.

December’s Spanish sales were also down YoY, by 3.5%, but Spain was still the pick of the major West European car markets in 2018, growing by 7% YoY. In the UK, sales fell 5.5% YoY in December and it was the worst-performing of the ‘Big 5’ markets in 2018 as a whole, with a 6.8% YoY decline.

LMC said that with very little momentum being carried into the New Year, it sees less than 1% growth for Western Europe’s car market in 2019. It also said that scenario assumes a ‘no-deal’ Brexit is avoided – otherwise Western European sales could fall again in 2019. France and Spain are expected to be the primary contributors to 2019 market growth; in contrast, Italy is expected to see another YoY decline.

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LMC analyst Jonathon Poskitt warned that the region’s economic situation has weakened recently. “The latest economic data is not very reassuring,” he says. “We have seen a slowdown in the major economies of the region in the latter part of 2018 and it threatens a loss of momentum in 2019. Global economic developments have not helped but there are also a number of region-specific risks – Brexit is one of course, but ongoing difficulties for some eurozone economies could put additional strains on the region’s financial system.”

See also: UK car market down 7% in 2018