Highly autonomous cars are expected to become significant in the European marketplace from 2025, according to a study undertaken by KPMG.
The study, commissioned by the SMMT, examined the impact of connected and autonomous vehicle technologies on the UK’s automotive sector, identifying a sizeable economic opportunity ahead.
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During the course of the study, KPMG talked to OEMs and other participant companies to talk about likely future timelines for advanced technologies’ rollout.
“High autonomy – sometimes called level 4 or level 5 autonomy – looks like 2025 and towards 2030 as a realistic timeframe to expect these vehicles on the roads,” said John Leech, UK head of automotive at KPMG.
Level 4 autonomous control entails fully driverless vehicle operation in certain driving situations and environments – for example, remote parking and automated driving on urban highways. Level 5 is autonomous control on a full end-to-end journey.
“The majority of automotive OEMs we interviewed expect fully autonomous technology to become available after 2025,” Leech says.
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By GlobalDataLeech also points out that significant hurdles to implementation of fully autonomous technolgy remain, such as refining decision-making algorithms and dealing with cyber security.
“Given the size of the vehicle fleet, it will also take many years for the technology to roll out without a scrappage scheme to accelerate it,” he points out.
See also: SMMTCONNECT: Connected cars could give huge boost to the economy – SMMT
