Researchers at Frost & Sullivan believe that diesel hybrids will play a key part in lowering average CO2 emissions in Europe over the next five years.
The firm also suggests that further industrial cooperation between OEMs is also a possibility in order to overcome high costs in this area.
Frost & Sullivan estimates that in 2015, every other car sold in Europe will have CO2 emissions in the range of 101-120 g/km. It says that diesel hybrids are likely to have a positive impact on the European market and further increase the share of diesel engines in the region.
Although the initial costs are higher, diesel hybrids provide higher performance, lower CO2 emissions and better fuel efficiency, says F&S. However, the researchers also note that the principal drawback of diesel engines has been in controlling particulate matter (PM) and emissions of oxides of nitrogen (NOx).
“European car manufacturers have adopted different strategies to reduce PM and NOx emissions, and one of those adopted is engine downsizing,” says Research Analyst, Bharath Kumar Srinivasan, from Frost & Sullivan. “However, downsizing a diesel engine will result in higher NOx emissions.”
Automotive OEMs therefore need to develop diesel engines, which meet low CO2 targets whilst complying with EU emission standards (Euro norms) at the same time. The PSA Group added a hybrid kit to a diesel powertrain and has unveiled the diesel Peugeot 3008 Hybrid4 with 200 bhp and CO2 emission as low as 99 g/km. The diesel powertrain produces a power output of 163 bhp and the electric motor generates an additional 37 bhp. Both powertrains are capable of running independently, thus offering the flexibility of using the all-electric mode within cities and making it a zero-emission vehicle.
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By GlobalDataF&S says that diesel hybridisation will be a significant trend toward meeting the 2020 targets of 95 gm/km, set by the European Commission. However, the higher costs of the technologies involved in a diesel hybrid, like the Hybrid4 technology, have been a key limitation to the launch of diesel hybrids. Attractive packaging is therefore expected to be a crucial proposition.
“PSA has managed to combine the best of technologies into a single package,” Srinivasan says.
“The Peugeot 3008 for instance, a crossover vehicle, allows multi-purpose use and is more practical for covering long distance travel. It therefore has an added advantage over electric vehicles, for which the driving range is often an issue – especially for travel between cities.”
With the leading volume brands – Fiat, PSA, Renault & Volkswagen – all having a strong diesel portfolio, a joint development of diesel-hybrid solutions could prove beneficial F&S suggests.
Not only does it lower development costs, it also offers the required economies of scale with the potential for large volumes. PSA’s cooperation with BMW for hybrid components and the BMW-Daimler-GM joint development of the two-mode hybrid, although expensive, are successful examples of joint development.
F&S says that based on current market perspectives, the demand for diesel hybrids is set to grow to more than 300,000 units by 2016-17.