Countless Saturday matinees have predicted futuristic
worlds where entire factories or loading docks are automated, where driverless vehicles
move about on their merry way, tending to the day’s work. The future has arrived for
automated guided vehicles (AGVs) and automated electrified monorails (AEMs), as the
markets for these systems are poised to experience phenomenal growth.

According to the latest research produced by Frost &
Sullivan (www.frost.com), “World AGV and AEM Markets“, if the
manufacturers of these systems can penetrate more alternative end-user segments, revenues
for the industry could top $1.6 billion by 2005.

 Fig. 1 Total AGV and AEM Market: Revenue
Forecasts (World), 1995-2005

 

AGVs

AEMs

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Year

($ Million)

($ Million)

1995

430.1

324.5

1996

473

356.3

1997

518

390.9

1998

566

428

1999

615.2

468.7

2000

664.3

510.8

2001

711.8

555.3

2002

761.6

600.8

2003

810.9

648.9

2004

855.5

696.2

2005

901.6

745

Revenues ($ Million)

Key: NA = North America
EUR = Europe
ASIA/ROW = Asia/Rest-of-World
Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan

Fig. 2 Automated Guided Vehicle Market: Percent of
Revenues by Geographic Region (World),1995-2005

 

NA

EUR

ASIA/ROW

Year

(%)

(%)

(%)

1995

17.1

49.4

33.5

1996

17.5

48.5

34

1997

17.9

47.5

34.6

1998

18.2

47.7

34.1

1999

18.7

48.2

33.1

2000

19.1

48.3

32.6

2001

19.5

47.8

32.7

2002

19.9

47.3

32.8

2003

20.1

46.8

33.1

2004

20.3

46.1

33.6

2005

20.5

45.5

34

Key: NA = North America
EUR = Europe
ASIA/ROW = Asia/Rest-of-World
Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan

Fig 3 Automated Electrified Monorails Market:
Percent of Revenues by Geographic Region(World), 1995-2005

 

NA

EUR

Asia/ROW

Year

(%)

(%)

(%)

1995

18.9

44.8

36.3

1996

19.2

44.8

36

1997

19.9

44.9

35.2

1998

21.3

46.1

32.6

1999

22.3

46

31.7

2000

23.1

45.4

31.5

2001

24

44.8

31.2

2002

24.5

44.5

31

2003

25

44.1

30.9

2004

25.4

43.5

31.1

2005

25.7

42.9

31.4

Key: NA = North America
EUR = Europe
ASIA/ROW = Asia/Rest-of-World
Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan

“Presently, these systems are very dependent on the
automotive industry,” states Frost & Sullivan Industry Analyst Sanjeev
Bhaskar. “But applications such as freight container terminal automation at sea ports
offer tremendous potential for growth in the future.”

AGVs are automated vehicles that are used for
transportation of goods and automation in manufacturing environments. This research
focuses on driverless tractor AGVs, unit load AGVs, forked AGVs, special purpose AGVs and
AEMs. AEMs are unique conveyers used in the industry for automation, material
transportation and noise reduction.The major end-user groups for AGVs and AEMs are: The
automotive industry, warehousing and distribution centers, heavy engineering, paper
manufacturers, the paper and printing industry, the food and beverage industry,
electronics, consumer products, textile manufacturers, and steel plants.

An emerging application for AGVs that has tremendous
potential for growth is the transportation of containers and cargo at ports. “The
Rotterdam port in Europe is extensively using AGVs for such an application,” says
Bhaskar. Other ports are expected to use AGVs in large numbers to meet their rapidly
growing container traffic. Bhaskar expects this to translate into huge growth
opportunities for AGV manufacturers.

“World AGV and AEM Markets” examines the
industry, providing market participants with emerging trends, market challenges and
strategies for success, as well as market share, company profiles and market size for a
number of subsegments. It is the information every marketing manager and sales strategist
in the AGV or AEM markets should have.

Frost & Sullivan presents Market Engineering awards to
participants in the AGV and AEM markets to recognize the companies that have worked hard
to make a positive contribution to the industry.

The 1999 Market Engineering Customer Focus Award is
presented to FATA Automation Inc. for its efforts to maintain its leadership in the AEM
market. The recipient of the 1999 Market Engineering Mergers and Acquisitions Strategy
Award is Swisslog Group. This company is continuously engaged in seeking new merger and
acquisition opportunities to improve its product range, market share and geographic
penetration. The 1999 Market Engineering Vertical Marketing Strategy Award is given to
Mannesmann Dematic AG for implementing the “market focused groups” concept. AGV
Products Inc. receives the 1999 Market Engineering Entrepreneurial Award for achieving
rapid growth and market presence in the face of stiff competition from established
companies.

This automation industry research has integrated the Market
Engineering consulting philosophy into the entire research process. Critical phases of
this research include, identification of industry challenges, market engineering
measurements, strategic recommendations, planning and market monitoring. All of the vital
elements of this system help market participants navigate successfully through the
airborne communications market.

Companies participating in this market include: Acco
Systems Inc, AGV Products Inc., Amerden Inc., Automatic Systems Inc., CFC Systemes
Automatises, Compagnie Generale De Productique (CGP), Control Engineering Co., Convey
Satasim SA, Daifuku Company Ltd., ECA Manutention, Egamin NV, Eilers & Kirf GmbH,
Eisenmann Maschinenbau KG, Fabricating Engineers Inc, FATA Automation Inc., FMC
Corporation Inc, Frog Navigation Systems Inc., HK Systems Inc., Indumat GmbH & Co KG.,
Jervis B. Webb Company, Komatsu Forklift U.S.A. Inc. , Mannesmann Dematic AG, Mentor AGVS
Inc, Mirle Automation Corporation, Morris Mechanical Handling Ltd, Munck Autech Inc.,
Murata Machinery Ltd., Netzler & Dahlgren AB, Nuyts GmbH, Panasonic Industrial of
Asia, Professional Materials Handling Co. Inc, Preussag Noell GmbH, Protec Pathfinder
Operations, Rocla Oy, Rosenheimer Förderanlagen GmbH, Samovie ZI, SI Handling Systems
Inc., Siemag Transplan GmbH, SMC Co. Ltd, Swisslog Group, Sydel, Technus Inc., TGW
Transportgerate GmbH, TransLogic Corporation, Vanderlande Industries BV, Van Riet BV
Förder-und-Sortiersysteme and Yamaha Motor Co. LTD.