Around 80 per cent of new cars sold in Europe will have average CO2 emissions below 150g/km by 2015, while cars with CO2 emissions under 120g/km could account for 10m annual sales by then, according to new research by Frost & Sullivan.
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2015 is the year when European Union legislation requires average fleet emissions of less than 130g/km.
“By 2015, the average car in Europe will be five per cent lighter, with 30 per cent lower CO2 emissions,” says Frost & Sullivan Programme Manager Vigneshwaran Chandran.
“Downsizing, gasoline direct injection (GDI), and start-stop will be the key technologies helping original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) achieve emission targets by 2015.”
About 8-10 million cars are expected to be in the less than 120g/km CO2 emission band in Europe by 2015 – a significantly attractive market opportunity for both volume and premium manufacturers, says the research.
“Premium manufacturers such as Daimler and BMW are likely to use a combination of electric vehicles, hybridization, and downsizing to achieve their 2015 CO2 emission target of 130g/km, while volume manufacturers will use a mix of green technologies such as GDI, VVT and start-stop systems,” notes fellow F&S analyst Hariher Balasubramanian.
