What will 2004 bring? On the evidence of a survey of leading academics, auto industry experts and investment bank analysts conducted for just-auto by Neil Winton, a mild upturn for the industry is in prospect. But there's also a feeling that the mild upturn will only serve to mask the industry's fundamental problems a little longer. Some are already looking ahead to the next big downturn and crunch time for some carmakers. Ford in Europe and Fiat are picked out as especially vulnerable. Longer term, big changes to the industry's structure are anticipated.